CADJPY Analysis
CADJPY broke the top of the Ascending Triangle
CADJPY Update
CADJPY has Re-Entered the Ascending Triangle, which leads to the SL price. However, CADJPY still have chances to to rebound from the broken the top of the Ascending Triangle.
Reason: Due to the release of more economic news mentioned below, the market is not making technical movements at this time.
Why CAD is Weaker
BoC Policy Uncertainty – Mixed signals on interest rate direction—some members support cuts due to weak growth, others are cautious due to high core inflation.
Slowing Economy – Q1 growth was strong but temporary; Q2 outlook is weaker with subdued domestic demand.
Rising Unemployment – Jobless rate hit 7% in May, the highest since 2016, signaling labor market weakness.
Trade Disruption – Tariff-related uncertainty and rising business costs are hurting confidence and inflation stability.
Why JPY is Stronger
Geopolitical Tensions – Rising conflicts like Israel-Iran are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like the yen.
Trade Uncertainty – Global trade worries are pushing markets into risk-off mode, boosting demand for the yen.
BOJ Policy Shift – The Bank of Japan is signaling a move away from ultra-low rates, making the yen more attractive.
Unwinding Carry Trades – Investors are closing yen-funded investments, increasing demand for the currency.
Please note In the forex market, technical works 80% of the time, and fundamental works 20% of the time. This time fundamental wins. It’s crucial to remain patient and wait for the next good opportunity signal.
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