Friday, November 22, 2024

Gold: FED Powell testimony

Gold is consolidating by moving up and down between the specific price ranges.

Gold is consolidating by moving up and down between the specific price ranges

Gold prices remain higher ahead of FED semi-annual meeting will be conducted this week Wednesday and Thursday.

Gold prices remain higher ahead of FED semi annual meeting will be conducted this week Wednesday and Thursday

US Dollar posted mild gains in the last 2days. The outcome of the Speech on tapering and hike rates is the main view by investors at this meeting. Only two-way mode, one is Tapering another one is easing mode.

And due to More printing of the US Dollar made Weaker prices of the Dollar index. If tapering assets in the US, then US Dollar gets stronger.

Gold prices remain rangebound market-1820-1760$.

US DOLLAR: CPI data

USDJPY is near to the broken level of Uptrend line and hits the previous support level.

USDJPY is near to the broken level of Uptrend line and hits the previous support level

US Dollar gets a Positive note ahead of US CPI data pending this week. The food and energy inflation rate increased to 29 years high of 4% on Year.

Inflation Data rise to a higher number this gives the way for tapering assets by FED

And Inflation Data rise to a higher number this gives the way for tapering assets by FED. Other side Rate hikes soon expected than later.

US Joe Biden plan of Infrastructure stimulus is processed in the senate once gets approval US Dollar gets a positive note.

US Dollar Index pointed in Higher high in Market, so we can expect some correction to 90.500 is possible in coming quarters

Euro: Delta Variant:

EURGBP is moving up and down between the resistance and support area.

EURGBP is moving up and down between the resistance and support area.

EURCAD is trying to bounce back back after hitting the higher low zone and recently broken resistance.

EURCAD is trying to bounce back back after hitting the higher low zone and recently broken resistance.

Eurozone regions like France, Netherlands and Spain are most affected by Delta Variant.

Eurozone regions like France Netherlands and Spain are most affected by Delta Variant

Vaccination Rollouts are Rapid progress in the Eurozone and EURUSD will soon be gained in upcoming quarters.

US CPI Data is focused to print at 4.9% from 4%. More inflation data came in higher numbers FED must take caution on tapering assets.

Dimmed numbers of Inflation numbers gives breathing room for FED to Quite sit and waiting to plan for tapering assets.

Euro: ECB President Reporters Interview speech

In the interview with Financial Times on Tuesday ECB President Christine Lagarde said there is no hurry for Tightening monetary policy settings. Only persistence way of approach in monetary policies as the accommodative setting.

Now policy approaches were stable to the current price of the Euro and More easing will do if the economy reacts to Worst hit by Delta Variant.

UK Pound: UK Lockdown released on July 19

GBPUSD is moving in a channel ranges.

GBPUSD is moving in a channel ranges

UK PM Boris Johnson confirmed the release of the lockdown on July 19 with no restrictions on any regions and come to a normal state like before the pandemic.

But this message not boosted GBP as much in the market. Because the Market reacted before the news expected.

Vaccination rollouts only help the UK economy to came normal from Pandemic causes.

But still, concerns remain in House Hold and Businesses, needed a Government Fiscal support in this time, But Government plans to unwind the Fiscal support in coming months.

Members of Westminster Parliament Vote on Tuesday to cut its Government Foreign Aid Budget

Members of Westminster Parliament Vote on Tuesday to cut its Government Foreign Aid Budget but this news is not Impacted Sterling in the Market.

UK POUND: Bank of England report of Financial stability

Bank of England shows financial stability conditions and economic outlook has improved and Risks related to pandemic remains concerned.

Bank of England

Households and business improvements stimulus funds maintained at 2%. Risky asset prices values increasing in a low-rate environment creates high risk-taking.

FPC expected Banks to use necessary funds if required to support the economy through recovery.

An increase in risk-taking in Crypto assets made concern for Money laundering.

More Crypto payments supported by Institutional investors, banks and Key operators.

Canadian Dollar: Domestic Data

CADCHF has broken the bottom of the symmetrical triangle pattern and it’s trying to continue the fall.

CADCHF has broken the bottom of the symmetrical triangle pattern and its trying to continue the fall.

Canadian Dollar made higher after Business sentiments increased to 4.2 in the third quarter.

And 231k Jobs added in June after Lockdowns released in more regions.

Due to inflation printed higher Bank of Canada plays a more accommodative stance on Policy measures. We expected another C$1 billion taperings’s in this meeting from $3 to $2 billion per Week.

Canadian Dollar impacted more by oil prices and we may expect some correction in CADJPY.

Japanese Yen: Tokyo Lockdown

GBPJPY has retested the broken level of uptrend channel line.

GBPJPY has retested the broken level of uptrend channel line

Japanese Yen shows more declines after Tokyo announced 2 weeks lockdown. Vaccination rollouts show slower than in Developed countries.

Japanese Yen shows more declines after Tokyo announced 2 weeks lockdown

US Dollar keeps strong momentum at pace as Japanese Yen continuous weaker pace.

As the government failed to tackle Covid-19 in Japan and Vaccine slower rollout is the only cause for continuous lockdown in Japan.

Japanese Yen saw weaker in coming quarters until the permanent arrest of Covid-19.

Australian Dollar: Chinese Domestic data

AUDUSD is moving in a downtrend price range.

AUDUSD is moving in a downtrend price range

The Chinese Trade balance came at $51.53 Billion Versus $44.2Billion. Exports came slower Data compared to Same period Last Year.

And Chinese Central Bank cuts the Reserve ratio by 0.50% for Banks makes it more easing for Monetary policies. This will impact in Exports and Imports data.

Chinese Trade balance came at 51.53 Billion Versus 44.2Billion

China Reported a trade surplus with the US is $164.92 Billion. June month Trade Surplus came at $32.58 billion from $31.78 billion in May month.

Fears concerns around in Australia are Delta Variant and Spread across More cities. Lockdowns were imposed in more cities.

China is the only country post-Good GDP in 2020 compared to other countries. Now, All Eyes for Tightening policies Now China cuts its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 0.50%.

New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ Meeting Forecast

NZDUSD made a sharp bounce back after hitting the major support zone.

NZDUSD made a sharp bounce back after hitting the major support zone

New Zealand Dollar remains in the Range-Bound market from 0.69500-71.

And if the Reserve bank of New Zealand makes a Hawkish tone speech this week then New Zealand Dollar gets a Significant move is expected.

Delta Variant made only a Few numbers in New Zealand; Vaccine Rollouts works progressed Faster.

And Housing prices were now controlled manner after Some changes done in Borrowing funds.

Now Tightening of Outside Tourism from New Zealand because of the Delta Variant issue.

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