Thursday, May 09, 2024

NZDUSD Retest analysis

NZDUSD has formed a double top pattern.

Support zone has broken and re-testing process is going in the 4-hour time frame chart.

After the breakout at the old support, the Old support zone which acts as a new Resistance zone now.

nzdusd broken the bottom zone of the Ascending channel

NZDUSD has broken the bottom zone of the Ascending channel in the Daily time frame chart.

After the breakout, Market re-testing the breakout zone now.

US Dollar Still possible to Gain

US dollar still hopes in gains but nothing expected from Presential debate to currency market Yesterday.

China from tomorrow going to have an 8-day long weekend holiday, hence the demand for luxury goods and Precious metals could be affected.

Gold is still in the consolidated model for fiscal stimulus in pending by the US Government.

gold vs currency rate fluctuations

Equity markets are still waiting for the stimulus package to deliver by the US government.

US house speaker told, Democrats, demand 2.2 US Dollars for aid, But Trump still says the target of $1.5 trillion aid is only possible to the economy.

Anyhow, If the stimulus package passed, the US equity markets will shoot up.

USD gain strong pump

Bear Dominates New Zealand Dollar 

New Zealand dollar remains bearish outlook as Reserve bank of New Zealand depends on unconventional tools to support the economy of NZ.

RBNZ likely to apply more non-standard measures as a package of FLP (Funding for the lending programmed) and lower negative OCR (official cash rate), this only could support the economy and additional monetary stimulus.

RBNZ reserve bank of new zealand

Already RBNZ governor ORR agreed to support the economy for a long time to fulfil inflation target and employment rate to stabilize, and monetary policy should be pushed by unconventional tools.

RBNZ still keeps Large scale asset purchase programmed at NZD $100 billion, it is a concern for a downturn of the New Zealand dollar.

Negative rates and more funding programmed for lenders will affect New Zealand dollars in the near term.

Next monetary meeting on November 11 decided by RBNZ to push stimulus program. This could affect the New Zealand dollar.

Expecting NZD currency to get weaker now.

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